Man City vs AEK Athens
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
Model under evaluationpoisson_v1.0_theta_bridge. International model under prospective evaluation: it has not yet completed its validation protocol. Its predictions and results are recorded separately from the official track record.
Model status
- The international model poisson_v1.0_theta_bridge has not yet completed its prospective validation (protocol m_prospective_v1).
- Retrospective evaluations identified calibration limitations.
- Its predictions and results are recorded separately from the official track record and do not count toward its metrics.
Model probabilities
Man City vs AEK Athens
Model under evaluation. poisson_v1.0_theta_bridge. International model under prospective evaluation: it has not yet completed its validation protocol. Its predictions and results are recorded separately from the official track record.
19:00 UTC
Tuesday, October 20
Match outcome
90.6%HomeMan City
6.8%Draw
2.6%AwayAEK Athens
Total goals
2.5 goals77.2%Over 2.5
22.8%Under 2.5
Double chance
97.4%Home or draw
9.3%Draw or away
93.2%Home or away